2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary
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← 2012 | May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17) | 2020 → |
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| | | | Candidate | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Uncommitted | Home state | New York | Vermont | N/A | Delegate count | 28 | 27 | 3 | Popular vote | 212,534[1] | 210,623 | 24,104 | Percentage | 46.76% | 46.33% | 5.30% | |
Election results by county. Clinton 40 – 50% 50 – 60% | Sanders 40 – 50% 50 – 60% 60 – 70% | |
Elections in Kentucky |
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The 2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 17 in the U.S. state of Kentucky as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
On the same day, the Democratic Party held their Oregon primary. The Republican Party held their Kentucky caucuses in early March.
Opinion polling
List of polls |
Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 Unpledged Winner: Hillary Clinton Primary date: May 17, 2016 Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other | Official Primary results[2] | May 17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 46.8% | Bernie Sanders 46.3% | | Others / Uncommitted 6.9% | Public Policy Polling[3] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 501 | March 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 43% | Bernie Sanders 38% | | Others / Undecided 19% | Public Policy Polling[4] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 610 | June 18–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 56% | Bernie Sanders 12% | Jim Webb 7% | Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18% | |
Results
Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016 |
Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates |
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
Hillary Clinton | 212,534 | 46.76% | 28 | 2 | 30 |
Bernie Sanders | 210,623 | 46.33% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 5,713 | 1.26% | | | |
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 1,594 | 0.35% | | | |
Uncommitted | 24,104 | 5.30% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Total | 454,568 | 100% | 55 | 5 | 60 |
Source: The Green Papers, Kentucky Secretary of State |
Results by county
County[5] | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
Adair | 49.6% | 466 | 43.7% | 410 |
Allen | 46.0% | 427 | 47.4% | 440 |
Anderson | 36.0% | 1,132 | 52.4% | 1,649 |
Ballard | 32.0% | 405 | 52.0% | 659 |
Barren | 37.2% | 1,979 | 49.9% | 2,653 |
Bath | 45.6% | 628 | 46.6% | 641 |
Bell | 44.7% | 567 | 45.6% | 578 |
Boone | 51.8% | 2,932 | 44.1% | 2,496 |
Bourbon | 46.5% | 1,109 | 45.6% | 1,087 |
Boyd | 44.7% | 2,193 | 46.1% | 2,262 |
Boyle | 49.9% | 1,648 | 43.9% | 1,451 |
Bracken | 32.5% | 251 | 54.9% | 424 |
Breathitt | 33.9% | 1,123 | 51.8% | 1,716 |
Breckinridge | 45.9% | 877 | 45.8% | 875 |
Bullitt | 44.4% | 2,907 | 49.1% | 3,210 |
Butler | 51.1% | 238 | 42.1% | 196 |
Caldwell | 34.3% | 570 | 52.1% | 866 |
Calloway | 35.8% | 1,460 | 55.0% | 2,239 |
Campbell | 48.1% | 3,169 | 47.5% | 3,133 |
Carlisle | 25.6% | 206 | 57.5% | 462 |
Carroll | 41.5% | 481 | 49.4% | 573 |
Carter | 39.1% | 800 | 51.4% | 1,051 |
Casey | 50.7% | 210 | 44.0% | 182 |
Christian | 50.2% | 2,437 | 39.9% | 1,936 |
Clark | 45.5% | 1,810 | 47.5% | 1,888 |
Clay | 48.4% | 184 | 41.6% | 158 |
Clinton | 57.9% | 151 | 35.6% | 93 |
Crittenden | 35.6% | 240 | 51.0% | 344 |
Cumberland | 44.8% | 78 | 50.0% | 87 |
Daviess | 45.5% | 5,066 | 46.6% | 5,188 |
Edmonson | 49.5% | 275 | 47.1% | 262 |
Elliott | 35.7% | 301 | 52.6% | 443 |
Estill | 47.6% | 446 | 47.0% | 440 |
Fayette | 52.8% | 20,014 | 45.0% | 17,048 |
Fleming | 40.7% | 627 | 52.3% | 806 |
Floyd | 31.4% | 2,327 | 54.1% | 4,010 |
Franklin | 45.1% | 5,218 | 46.6% | 5,398 |
Fulton | 46.6% | 315 | 36.2% | 245 |
Gallatin | 39.5% | 260 | 51.6% | 340 |
Garrard | 50.5% | 434 | 45.0% | 387 |
Grant | 40.9% | 594 | 49.2% | 715 |
Graves | 31.8% | 1,631 | 51.3% | 2,631 |
Grayson | 49.9% | 705 | 44.6% | 630 |
Green | 40.4% | 284 | 51.2% | 360 |
Greenup | 43.8% | 1,517 | 47.7% | 1,655 |
Hancock | 42.5% | 491 | 49.7% | 573 |
Hardin | 47.8% | 4,359 | 46.2% | 4,208 |
Harlan | 25.9% | 451 | 62.8% | 1,092 |
Harrison | 41.4% | 886 | 49.5% | 1,059 |
Hart | 39.7% | 817 | 51.6% | 1,062 |
Henderson | 43.4% | 2,887 | 42.9% | 2,850 |
Henry | 40.6% | 781 | 49.8% | 958 |
Hickman | 32.5% | 209 | 46.6% | 300 |
Hopkins | 32.7% | 1,690 | 52.2% | 2,696 |
Jackson | 35.9% | 78 | 59.0% | 128 |
Jefferson | 57.3% | 64,090 | 40.3% | 45,048 |
Jessamine | 44.2% | 1,875 | 49.8% | 2,113 |
Johnson | 32.9% | 444 | 55.5% | 749 |
Kenton | 49.0% | 5,146 | 46.5% | 4,880 |
Knott | 30.8% | 583 | 58.8% | 1,114 |
Knox | 47.9% | 520 | 46.4% | 504 |
LaRue | 34.7% | 612 | 51.6% | 910 |
Laurel | 49.1% | 845 | 45.9% | 791 |
Lawrence | 35.3% | 444 | 52.4% | 659 |
Lee | 42.9% | 199 | 48.3% | 224 |
Leslie | 43.8% | 64 | 52.7% | 77 |
Letcher | 26.7% | 838 | 56.9% | 1,788 |
Lewis | 51.7% | 211 | 37.0% | 151 |
Lincoln | 47.7% | 779 | 45.5% | 742 |
Livingston | 34.4% | 400 | 52.4% | 610 |
Logan | 43.8% | 1,077 | 46.0% | 1,131 |
Lyon | 40.5% | 497 | 45.7% | 561 |
Madison | 41.6% | 3,441 | 53.0% | 4,385 |
Magoffin | 42.7% | 511 | 52.3% | 626 |
Marion | 50.3% | 1,162 | 42.6% | 983 |
Marshall | 34.7% | 1,577 | 50.8% | 2,308 |
Martin | 31.2% | 104 | 57.4% | 191 |
Mason | 44.1% | 727 | 47.0% | 775 |
McCracken | 43.8% | 3,334 | 46.5% | 3,541 |
McCreary | 41.9% | 169 | 50.4% | 203 |
McLean | 38.1% | 477 | 50.1% | 628 |
Meade | 41.9% | 1,312 | 49.2% | 1,541 |
Menifee | 44.8% | 311 | 46.5% | 323 |
Mercer | 39.1% | 988 | 52.6% | 1,331 |
Metcalfe | 41.7% | 506 | 47.9% | 582 |
Monroe | 50.8% | 126 | 44.0% | 109 |
Montgomery | 45.8% | 1,289 | 47.0% | 1,322 |
Morgan | 31.6% | 544 | 57.3% | 988 |
Muhlenberg | 43.3% | 1,544 | 45.7% | 1,632 |
Nelson | 47.6% | 2,395 | 46.6% | 2,345 |
Nicholas | 42.2% | 353 | 50.2% | 420 |
Ohio | 41.3% | 778 | 50.0% | 943 |
Oldham | 52.4% | 2,730 | 44.4% | 2,315 |
Owen | 34.6% | 453 | 55.0% | 720 |
Owsley | 43.3% | 77 | 51.1% | 91 |
Pendleton | 36.6% | 388 | 51.5% | 546 |
Perry | 30.0% | 839 | 59.6% | 1,666 |
Pike | 26.1% | 2,335 | 54.3% | 4,848 |
Powell | 42.4% | 623 | 50.7% | 744 |
Pulaski | 47.4% | 1,169 | 46.6% | 1,148 |
Robertson | 32.0% | 95 | 59.6% | 177 |
Rockcastle | 45.7% | 238 | 48.8% | 254 |
Rowan | 44.0% | 1,170 | 51.2% | 1,363 |
Russell | 48.2% | 343 | 46.7% | 332 |
Scott | 48.6% | 2,505 | 46.4% | 2,394 |
Shelby | 47.8% | 2,195 | 44.5% | 2,044 |
Simpson | 45.9% | 708 | 45.1% | 695 |
Spencer | 42.7% | 673 | 51.2% | 806 |
Taylor | 50.3% | 949 | 44.8% | 844 |
Todd | 35.1% | 333 | 53.5% | 507 |
Trigg | 40.8% | 604 | 48.3% | 715 |
Trimble | 38.3% | 415 | 50.0% | 542 |
Union | 29.9% | 672 | 49.3% | 1,106 |
Warren | 44.9% | 4,829 | 49.9% | 5,365 |
Washington | 47.0% | 601 | 45.5% | 582 |
Wayne | 55.6% | 502 | 39.4% | 356 |
Webster | 28.7% | 693 | 48.5% | 1,169 |
Whitley | 52.5% | 522 | 41.1% | 409 |
Wolfe | 42.1% | 414 | 50.7% | 499 |
Woodford | 46.3% | 1,862 | 47.7% | 1,918 |
Total | 46.8% | 212,550 | 46.3% | 210,626 |
Analysis
Clinton's strength with conservative white voters in the Appalachia region, including Coal Country, had clearly regressed since 2008; she had beaten Barack Obama 65–29 in Kentucky eight years earlier, and only beat rival Bernie Sanders 47–46 in 2016. She ran strongly in Louisville, where the African American population is highest, but lost many of the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield counties in the state to Bernie Sanders, who had won a large victory in neighboring West Virginia the week prior. Sanders also won many counties in the Jackson Purchase area. Notably, in 2012, almost all of the Sanders counties voted for the "Uncommitted" ballot option in a protest vote against Obama.
References
- ^ Kentucky Secretary of State
- ^ Official Primary results
- ^ "Kentucky Survey Results" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
- ^ "PPP KY" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
- ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.